commentary

i was little vacation.... :-)

eur-usd - 1,2775 looks strong at this moment and propably we could see some correction towards 1,2715 even 1,2670, below this bulls could lost momentum and fall towards 1,2500 and lower possible...

gbp-usd - resistance 1,8660-80 above this 1,8760 and higher towards 1,8900, support starts 1,8620 than 1,8600 and near 1,8575...

jpy - looks stronger , propably buy jy on dips should work well,

important this week:
rba,boe,ecb rate decision and us nfp

good luck

commentary

Bernanke dovish....usd down....
my positions was stopped out ( i had tight sl ),

but, last time when Bernanke was dovish usd also has fallen for only one day, could be the same thios time ?

we will see today after fomc minutes raport
im watching and if i will see any sign of usd strong i will buy again usd...

good luck and be carefull...

us data...

hello,
another better than expected us data, inflation pressure,
i sold eur-usd with tight sl, above todays range and now im waiting for bernanke

Dear traders please be carefull with Yours positions ...

good luck

raport

hello,

important today:
inflation and Bernanke

eur-usd - 1,2475 still hold, looks good at this moment, below this target 1,2440, resistance 1,2515 next 1,2560, in my opinion good idea is wait for data....

note: daily and weekly close below 1,2475 will be negative for eur bulls and could be sell signal for longer term

all in all we should see direction after Bernanke...

good luck

commentary

i took good profits from long usd....

watch todays close

commentary

after better than expected us data im:

short eur-usd and gbp-usd and nzd-usd and aud-usd

good luck

18.07 - commentary

hello,

eur-usd - index zew for a few minutes...bounce after yesterday´s fall touch 2546 so i expect another fall below 1,2505, first target 1,2475-85, eur is underpressure also from eur-gbp and could be from eur-jpy, iof resistance at 146,80-147,20 holds,

gbp-usd - better than expected cpi data from gbp, stand aside at this moment

usd-cad - resistance at 1,1345-50 was taken out, first target 1,14 next near 1,16

aud-usd - while below 0,7525 i think about short position.....


good luck

17.07 - eur

eur-usd important support 1,2505 , below this possible fall towards 1,2300, resistance now 1,2560-80,

eur-jpy - still resistance 146,80-147,12-25, fall towards 146,20 possible...

good luck

17.07 - usd looks stronger ...

usd looks stronger ahead Bernanke, us inflation and FOMC minutes, propably buy usd on dips strategy still should work...

im waiting for better levels to buy usd....

17.07 - important this week

Monday

EUR - euro-zone CPI

CAD - international securities transactions

GBP - RICS price house balance

JPY - tertiary industry index

Tu

CHF - adjusted retail sales

GBP - CPI

EUR - ZEW index

USD -PPI and net foreign securities purchases

Wed

JPY - machine tool orders

EUR - trade balance

USD - CPI and housing starts and building permits

!!! USD - BERNANKE 16.00 gmt !!!

CAD - löeading indicators

Thu

JPY - BOJ minutes

CHF - trader balance and PPI

GBP - retail sales

!!! USD - BERNANKE !!!


USD - leading indicators and philly fed

!!! USD - FOMC minutes !!! 18.00 gmt

Friday

AUD - import export price index

GBP - GDP

CAD - CPI

!!! trading signals !!!

gbp-usd close 1,8208

wait for better levels to re-open

also if You have short eur-usd take some profits here 1,2530 ( 1\2505-25 looks strong at this moment )

and if You have long usd\cad aloso better to exit here1,1338

13.07 - EUR/USD

while below 1,2730 still a chance for break 1,2670/80, play from the short side at this moment...

!!! trading signals !!!

exit eur/usd 1,2708 ( opened 1,2710 )

!!! trading signals !!!

short gbp/usd was stopped out

sell again 1,8430 sl 1,8490

13.07 - USD/CAD

pair stay well above 1,1250/75 support, now 1,1321, first target near 1,1400....
propably buy here and lower if seen for 1,1400 min and 1,1600 weeks ahead...

good luck

!!! trading signal !!!

i took profit from long usd/jpy at 115,43

and try to re-open again....

on the other hand you can to hold this position because sl is on entry...watch 115,70

!!! trading signals !!!

usd/jpy - move sl for long on entry

eur/usd - move sl for short to 1,2735

13.07 - GBP/USD

while below 1,8415 still a chance for fall towards 1,8230/50 but at this moment gbp is supported from eur/gbp ( now testing 0,6900 ), first support near 1,8370, in my opinion first eur/usd need to fall below 1,2670 then we could see fall gbp/usd below 1,8370 and lower....

good luck

!!! trading signal !!!

exit gbp/jpy 212,06

!!! trading signal !!!

buy usd/jpy 115.20 sl 114,50

!!! trading signal !!!

close eur/jpy at 146,30, wait for better level to re-open

13.07 - GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

gbp/jpy - found resistance near 211,95-212,00 ( falling trendline 213,65 - 18.06 and 212,48 - 04.07 ), first support 211,10/20 on hourly charts, then 210,80, holding short...

eur/jpy - found strong resistance at 146,82 ( 76,4% last fall ), on hourly charts double top formation while below 146,47, holding short

good luck

!!! trading signals !!!

jpy looks stronger ahead boj...

sell gbp/jpy 211,80 sl 212,15

sell eur/jpy 146,50 sl 146,85

also holding long usd vs eur and gbp

!!! trading alerts !!!

sell eur-usd 1,2710 sl 1,2760 tp near 1,2570-1,2620

sell gbp-usd 1,8370 sl 1,8430 tp open

12.07 - USD AND CAD

important today:

us trade balance...

cad - propably time to take profits from cad shorts here....eur 1,4460, usd 1,1350, wait for better levels to re-open...

eur-usd - short should work well while below 1,2790, potential target 1,2655 first, but in my opinion better to wait for the number....

usd-jpy - while above 114,40 possible 114,90 target

be carefull, in my opinion better to wait and eventually take some fast profits after the number

good luck

11.07 - USD & CAD

hello,

important today


cad rate decision

eurusd - while below 1,2760 bullish scenario is underpressure, below 1,2710 this scenario will be cancel, wait for the number....

cad - Doge said that rate hike depend on nfp number, we had weaker number, so....propably sell cad after decision.....


good luck

CALENDAR

important this week:

tue:
jpy - consumer confidence

gbp - trade balance

cad - BOC rate decision

wed:
gbp - unemployment

eur - eurozone GDP

usd - trade balance

cad - tic data

nzd - retail sales

jpy - current account & trade balance

thu:
aud:
unemployment

jpy - industrial production

fri:
jpy - boj

aud - trade balance

usd - michigan and advance retail sales

good luck

10.07 - JPY & CAD

welcome after weekend... :)

weaker cad nfp number as i expected... two trading idea at this moment ahead tommorow,s rate decision:
1. close half short cad with sl on entry for rest
or
2. close all cad shorts and re-enter if no rate hike tommorow...


i also closed all jpy longs and waiting for better levels to re-enter

good profits at the begining of the week....

good luck

05.07 - Commentary

usd stronger today after ADP National Employment Report,

eur/usd - testing 1,2700 support, resistance near 1,2750
usd/jpy - support at 114,65 holds, resistance at 115,25 was taken out, now 115,70
gbp/usd - 1,8300/20 support holds, watch today's close

important this week:

tommorow: ECB and BOE rate decision

friday: US NFP and CAD NFP

if you are long usd as i wrote earlier you should take profit, and hold yen longs


good luck

05.07. - IRAN, NORTH KOREA

in my opinion still better to stan aside at this moment,
unclear situation with iran and north korea, on the other hand nfp data on friday,
if you need you can buy usd for some short covering and also you can buy some jpy vs. eur, gbp, aud

good luck

CAD & JPY

cad - this week important will be friday and non-farm payrolls, weaker number = no rate hike and cad should be weaker vs eur,usd nad jpy, propably better to sell acd ahead this number with sl after data....

jpy - BOJ rate hike next week ? propably... jpy is oversold, propably buy jpy vs. cad,gbp,chf,aud could be good trading idea, ( buy jpy near end of the week sl after boj decision )

03.07.2006

eur/usd - after strong usd sell-off on friday, today new high was tested at 1,2820 after weaker ISM number , this resistance looks strong ( above next near 1,2850 ), first support 1,2760, be carefull tommorow thin trade possible during us session

usd/jpy - during asian session 114 level was tested, after bounce usd bulls still try 115,05/25 resistance if hold i expect back to 114 level.